new mexico state is a bad, bad team. they're 3-6 and still should be getting more than close to 3 td's against another 3-6 team like hawaii.  the over 53 is still the best play in this one.

new mex st has scored just 7 points in last 2 road games and has been out-scored 124-10 in last 3 games. they lost 45-7 at la tech and were shutout in the last game at ohio state 45-0 with a 34-3 loss at home to fresno in the middle of the two road losses. they have just 12 td's all year but the still have enough offense to still score 15-20 points on hawaii's defense. too much is made about teams adjusting to travel to hawaii but new mex st had a bye week after they lost to ohio st. jeff fleming sucks but can put up points on the hawaii defense. new mex st should still get at least 14-17 points in this game against the hawaii defense. after their bye week and with extra rest the new mex st team should be ready to play ball. jeff fleming has got to find todd lee to open up the running game up for seth smith and  back the hawaii defense up from the line of scrimmage.

no problem for hawaii to score points on new mex st. the new mex st defense is okay against the pass but they are super weak against the run. bryant moniz might still make a mistake with 1-2 interceptions but that might mean still more points for new mex st.  even with the int's he still has a good rating the last two games with 7 td passes against nevada and utah st. gregg salas is a guy that could torch this new mex st defense if the running game is opened up against a bad rush defense for new mex st. jevonte taylor is a little guy but has become a favorite target for bryant moniz the last two games with 3 td's and 8 catches for almost a 20.0 yard avg. leon wright jackson had 167 yards on the ground in the win last week over utah state on just 15 carries and scored 3 td's. alex green also got more than 110 yard rushing against utah state and has run for 180 yards in the last 2 games on 20 carries to give hawaii a good chance to run at will in this game against new mex st.

hawaii has won all of the last 4 games and covered 3 of them. the hawaii warriors should cover this one too but still the over is the safest bet..  the last 4 years the games between new mex st and hawaii have totaled 77, 79, 63, and 72 points. hawaii should be good for 40 or more on their own and new mex st should get 14 and more. hawaii will cover the 19.5 and their defense will give up 2 or 3 scores. last year it was 42-30 and new mex state will not get that many this year but hawaii will score enough to make up for it. final score hawaii 45 new mex st 17.